Monday, May 15, 2017

Trusted versus Relied Upon - China - Russia and US

BLUF.  (Bottom Line Up Front)  The United States needs to co-opt China's efforts where they coincide with US interests.


Opinions
1.  The United States cannot trust China (PRC) to unilaterally act in the best interest of the United States. 
    (Note.  The US cannot trust most countries in the world to unilaterally act in our best interest.)
2.  The United States can trust that China will act in the best interest of China.
3.  China will not always act in the best interest of US.
4.  Starting in 1972, China's actions served (US interests) as a counter balance to Soviet global aggression and those Chinese actions dominated Soviet power, and ultimately the Soviet disintegration.
5.  Reagan scared the ba-jesus out of Iran – got the hostages released. Then, he then presided over the fall of the Soviet Union and the Eastern European communist bloc.
6.  Starting in 1992, as soon as it was achieved with the fall of the Soviet Union, the US began to shrink back from its global domination.
7.  Global power abhors a vacuum, and Russia under Putin took advantage to reemerge.
8.  China, as it has for thousands of years, will alternately ally itself with non-Chinese to China’s advantage.
9.  China’s leaders learned from the USSR’s demise, that China could not withstand a sudden or rapid shift to a democratic free market system.
10.  The US takes advantage of economic differences in poorer countries to our economic advantage.
11.  Developing countries - although not reaping equal wage benefit as American counterparts - immensely benefit from American investment and trade.
12. Trump is troubling the Chinese, through decisive actions that should be continued - in order to aggressively push China to accept its global responsibility.


Facts.  The United States has been defacto cooperating economically and militarily with the Communist regime since 1972.
The United States fought:
- Two wars against England.
- Two wars against Germany.
- One war against Spain.
- One war against Japan.
- One war against Italy.
Enemies become friends.
The United States does not completely trust nearly any country.  WikiLeaks reportedly provided evidence that we monitor our allies, like the Brits and Germans (Angela Merkel).
Note. Since that material is classified and I had a high level clearance, I still cannot go to that site without risking violating the law.  I would need to be a democrat in office.


The Chinese government suppresses free speech voices.
The US government has laws that allow surrogates to suppress free speech in American schools and college campuses.
The Chinese government suppresses the spread of Christian religion.
The US government has laws that allow surrogates to suppress free expression of Christian religion in schools and college campuses.
Pakistan is a democratic republic that suppresses free speech and religion.


Opinion.
The Russians and Chinese are cooperating – like two street thugs who have to deal with the cops.
China uses Russians to temper the American influence.
China hates Russians more than Americans.
China is extremely slowly moving to function like the US, not the corrupt dictatorship in Russia.
....extremely slowly
The United States without PRC presence would have a much more difficult time countering Russia.
The PRC without United States presence would have a much more difficult time countering Russia.
The world without the PRC government system currently in place would be impossible for the countries of the free world to control (provide economic and military security).


The Scorpion and the Frog
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Scorpion_and_the_Frog
"A scorpion asks a frog to carry it across a river. The frog hesitates, afraid of being stung, but the scorpion argues that if it did so, they would both drown. Considering this, the frog agrees, but midway across the river the scorpion does indeed sting the frog, dooming them both. When the frog asks the scorpion why, the scorpion replies that it was in its nature to do so."


Sunday, a preacher on a local station talked about bull raised for rodeo bull riding.  He explained how they are naturally averse to having people ride them.  A cowboy cannot trust them to be benign.  But, the can be harnessed and relied upon to act in their nature and for what they perceive as their own best interest.


So:
The PRC being a commie government is bad - yes. 
(But,.. For now... I think there is no immediate solution that is better - but we need to find it and wisely manage the Chinese scorpion or rodeo bull.)

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